UAE Braces for Coldest Winter Days

The Coldest Days of Winter to Hit UAE: Drastic Temperature Drop Expected

Residents and visitors of the United Arab Emirates are soon to experience the coldest days of this winter. According to forecasts by the National Meteorological Center, a significant cooling is expected to begin in mid-January that will be felt nationwide, especially in inland and mountainous areas. Temperatures might drop by as much as 7–8°C within just two days, marking a significant change even for residents accustomed to the region's mild winters.

Cold Front from the North: Gradual Cooling from West to East

A cold air mass arriving from the north will be the driving force behind the cooling, starting from January 15. Meteorologists predict that the northwesterly winds will first make the cold felt in the western regions of the country, such as the Al Dhafra area, where daytime temperatures could fall by 3–4°C. The following day, January 16, the cold will spread to other parts of the country, where an additional 4–5°C drop is expected. This could result in a combined decrease of up to 8°C in some parts of the country.

In Mountains and Inland Areas, Temperatures Could Drop Below 5°C

The weather change will be particularly impactful in mountainous and desert regions. In higher altitude areas, such as the mountains of Ras Al Khaimah, early morning temperatures may drop to 5–7°C. Daily highs might not even reach 10°C, a rare phenomenon in the UAE's climate.

Inland desert areas, like some regions of Ajman, are expected to experience significant cooling. Nighttime temperatures in these places may fall below 9–10°C. In contrast, coastal cities such as Abu Dhabi or Dubai will see daytime temperatures between 20–22°C, while nighttime lows may briefly dip below 20°C.

Why are Inland Areas Colder than the Coast?

Meteorological experts suggest that the difference in temperatures between coastal and desert areas is primarily due to the varying heat storage capacities of land and water surfaces. Sea water heats up slowly during the day but cools down just as slowly at night. This slow heat release helps stabilize temperatures in coastal regions, preventing rapid cooling.

On the other hand, sandy desert soil heats up quickly during the day, but it releases heat almost immediately in the evening. This phenomenon explains why inland regions are so sensitive to daily temperature fluctuations and why residents perceive the nights as much colder.

Strengthening Winds and Wind Chill: Air Feels Even Colder

During the January 15–16 period, not only will temperatures drop, but the wind will also pick up. The northwesterly currents will bring fresh, occasionally strong gusts of wind, which will further enhance the feeling of cold. Due to the "wind chill" effect, the perceived temperature could be several degrees lower than what the thermometer indicates.

This will be particularly noticeable in the early morning and evening hours, when temperatures are already lower, and people are often outdoors, such as when commuting to work or school or heading out for evening walks.

Fog, Clouds, and Light Rain Expected

In addition to the temperature drop, other weather phenomena are anticipated. Meteorologists indicate that the combination of cold air and calmer winds will increase the chances of fog formation, especially in the inland, desert areas. Visibility could significantly decrease in the early morning hours, particularly on Tuesday and the following days.

Additionally, cloudiness is expected, especially in the northern and eastern parts of the country during the morning and daytime hours. Forecasts suggest that areas around Ras Al Khaimah and Fujairah might experience light rainfall. Although prolonged rain is not expected, temporary cloudy, cooler weather might occur in some cities.

What Does This Mean for Everyday Life?

Although winter in the UAE is usually mild, the upcoming cooling could have a noticeable impact on daily life. For residents, this means it will be wise to bring out warmer clothing, particularly for those who are outdoors early in the morning or late in the evening. Those traveling to mountainous areas, whether for leisure or work, should especially prepare for temperatures below 10°C.

Schools, workplaces, and public institutions might experience increased energy consumption, as many will turn on heating or additional lighting due to the weather.

From a transportation standpoint, fog will pose the biggest challenge: it is advisable to start journeys earlier than usual, heed weather warnings, and exercise particular caution while driving in the mornings in affected areas.

Summary

A significant cooling is set to begin in mid-January in the UAE, affecting different parts of the country in varying ways. While coastal cities can expect relatively mild weather, serious cold, and even temperatures below 5°C, may occur in inland and mountainous areas. Wind enhancing the cold, fog, clouds, and potential rain all contribute to making this the coldest period of the winter. For residents, the key is to prepare ahead: dress in layers, keep an eye on weather reports, and enjoy the unique atmosphere of the coldest days of the year.

(The article is based on a release from the National Centre of Meteorology (NCM).)