Arabian Sea Weather: UAE Unaffected

Arabian Sea Weather Pattern: Will It Affect UAE?

In the United Arab Emirates, particularly in the Dubai area, weather always plays a crucial role in organizing daily life, whether it concerns transportation, tourism, or outdoor events. Recently, a new weather phenomenon has come into focus: the formation of a low-pressure system over the Arabian Sea, near the Indian coast. Though the possibility of this event raised concerns, the National Center of Meteorology (NCM) of the United Arab Emirates officially confirmed that the country would not be affected by it.

What exactly is happening in the Arabian Sea region?

According to computer forecasting models, a tropical system may develop on October 1, 2025, in the northeastern part of the Arabian Sea, near the Indian coast. If this system forms, it is expected to move westward, towards the central Arabian Sea. Although such tropical systems are not uncommon in the region during the autumn months, the NCM clearly stated that the UAE would not be impacted by this phenomenon.

What is a tropical system and how does it form?

Tropical systems—be they tropical depressions, storms, or even cyclones—are atmospheric formations that develop over warm seawater, generally at the end of summer or the beginning of autumn. These formations carry immense amounts of energy, which they derive from the warmth of the ocean surface. The longer such a system stays over warm water, the stronger it can become—however, this also means that its path and intensity are difficult to predict.

How does the NCM respond to such situations?

The NCM, the nation's official meteorological authority, closely monitors such phenomena. The center daily analyzes the results of numerical models, satellite images, and international meteorological data sets to inform the public of any potential weather hazards in a timely manner.

In this case, they emphasized that there is no need for concern, as the current situation poses no threat to the UAE. However, atmospheric events can change rapidly. Accordingly, the center keeps the area under constant observation and will issue immediate notifications if necessary.

Why is it important to follow information from credible sources?

The NCM stressed that the public should rely only on official sources and avoid rumors or fears generated by unverified sources in social media. Information about tropical systems often spreads quickly, frequently in exaggerated or misleading forms, which can cause unnecessary panic among the public.

To prevent such misinformation, the NCM places increasing emphasis on timely and accurate communication with the public, whether via SMS alerts, mobile app notifications, or information published on their official website and social channels.

The geographical location of the UAE and its weather protection

It is also important to understand that the geographical location of the UAE—the eastern edge of the Arabian Peninsula—provides relative protection against direct tropical systems. While Oman and Yemen's coastlines encounter such phenomena more frequently, the UAE is rarely directly impacted by tropical cyclones. The country usually only experiences the peripheral effects of distant systems, such as increased humidity, changing wind direction, or sea swell.

In this case, however, even such indirect impacts are not expected, as the system's expected movement is not towards the UAE.

What can we learn from this situation?

Although it appears that the UAE will avoid danger this time, the situation is an excellent example of the importance of accurate observation of weather phenomena and informed public communication. Due to climate change, weather patterns are shifting worldwide, and regions are increasingly experiencing previously uncommon events—such as unusual rainfall, strong winds, or even sandstorms.

The NCM, as the country's key meteorological actor, plays an important role not only in mitigating current threats but also in developing future adaptation strategies.

Summary

The low-pressure system forming over the Arabian Sea currently poses no threat to the United Arab Emirates or Dubai and is expected to move towards the central sea. The NCM is continuously monitoring the events and has officially confirmed that there is no reason for the public to worry. However, such phenomena remind us of the importance of following reliable, credible sources of information and taking meteorological warnings seriously.

For the general public and visitors, it is crucial to continue following the NCM's official channels and avoid spreading unchecked information. Due to the unpredictability of the weather, awareness and preparedness always play a key role—especially in dynamically developing, globally open countries like the UAE.

(The article source: National Center of Meteorology (NCM) statement.)